Skip to main content
 logo

Secondary menu

  • Staff area
  • Contact us
  • About
    • Partners
  • Team
  • Projects
    • Children and the Environment
    • ELiCiT (Exploring lifestyle changes in transition)
    • Foundations for Sustainable Living
    • HABITs
    • Mapping Rebound Effects
    • PASSAGE (Prosperity and Sustainability in the Green Economy)
    • Policy Dialogue
    • Price Responsiveness of Demand in Energy
    • Resilience and Sustainable Lifestyles
    • Sustainability Transitions in Food Systems
    • Sustainable Living in Remote Rural Scotland
  • Publications
  • News
  • Events

You are here

Home

Forecasting UK household expenditure and associated GHG emissions: outlook to 2030

TitleForecasting UK household expenditure and associated GHG emissions: outlook to 2030
Publication TypeRESOLVE Working Paper
2012
AuthorsChitnis, M, Druckman, A, Hunt, LC, Jackson, T, Milne, S
02-12

This paper describes scenarios to 2030 for UK house hold expenditure and associated (direct and indirect) GHG emissions for 16 expenditure categories. Using assumptions for real household disposable income, prices, exogenous non-economic factors (ExNEF), average UK temperatures and GHG intensities for each of the 16 expenditure categories, three future scenarios are constructed. In each case, real expenditure for almost all categories of UK expenditure continues to grow up to 2030; the exceptions being ‘alcoholic beverages and tobacco’ and ‘other fuels’ (and ‘gas’ and ‘electricity’ in ‘low’ scenario). Furthermore, this leads to an increase in GHG emissions for most of the categories in the ‘reference’ and ‘high’ scenarios other than ‘food and non-alcoholic beverages’, ‘alcoholic beverages and tobacco’, ‘electricity’, ‘other fuels’ and ‘recreation and culture’. The GHGs emitted from ‘direct energy’ use by households are responsible for about 30 % of future total emissions with nearly 70% of future emissions attributable to ‘indirect energy’. UK policy makers therefore need to consider a range of policies if they wish to curtail expenditure and the associated emissions, including economic incentives such as taxes alongside measures that reflect the important contribution of ExNEF to changes in expenditure for most categories of consumption.

Download: 

PDF icon resolve_wp_02-12.pdf

News

Lifecourse transition and sustainable consumption

SLRG research fellow Kate Burningham to present her research findings at SCI Manchester, 29 April

Societies in transition

Kate Burningham and Andy Stirling to lead plenary session at BSA Annual Conference, 16 April 2015

Habitual behaviors or patterns of practice?
New publication by SLRG Fellow Bas Verplanken
New Working Paper on Rebound Effects
Mona Chitnis and Steve Sorrell
#AnEconomyThatWorks

Tim Jackson joins advisory board of ambitious new Aldersgate Group coalition

more

           

Search form